Step 1 Passing Rates Are Down
About 95% of US/Canada test-takers passed the United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE) Step 1 until the scoring system changed to Pass/Fail in 2022. Since then, pass rates have dropped across the board, a phenomenon that has come to be known as “the Pass/Fail effect”.
| | MD Students | DO Students | International Medical Graduates (IMGs) | First Time Test Takers |
Pass rate (2021) Under 3-digit scoring | 95% | 94% | 77% | 90% |
Pass rate (2022) Under Pass/Fail scoring | 91% | 91% | 71% | 84% |
Pass rate (2023) Under Pass/Fail scoring | 90% | 86% | 68% | 83% |
Pass rate (2024) Under Pass/Fail scoring | 89% | 86% | 70% | 82% |
Source: https://www.usmle.org/performance-data
Due to the scoring change, pass rates have decreased for MD, DO, and international students.
MD students saw a 6% decrease in pass rate while DO students, IMGs, and first-time testers saw 9% pass rate decreases (7-8 percentage points, but 9% change).
Some variation is to be expected, especially as the score required was slightly higher. However, students have reported a significant reduction in the study time they devote to Step 1.
No wonder, because with the move to Pass/Fail, there’s no longer an incentive to study as hard as possible for Step 1. Instead, the emphasis has shifted to Step 2 scores, which have now become the key metric for residency admissions.
One study found that applicants with a numerical score were placed in the top and bottom tiers of residency matching, while applicants with a “Pass” score were more frequently placed in the middle tier. This research concludes that “comparing applicants with numeric…scores to those with pass/fail scores can have a significant impact on the ranking of those applicants.”
Despite the shift to Pass/Fail, many students I talk to still stress out about Step 1 because a failure is generally considered a “black mark” when applying to residency programs. Yes, students may retake Step 1, but the initial failure is reported on any future residency applications.
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Student Well-Being Is Taking a Hit
USMLE Step 1 moved to a Pass/Fail scoring system partly due to concerns about student health and wellness during the first two years of medical school. However, while students generally agreed to the change, their mental health has suffered.
Studies now show that switching to Pass/Fail has not achieved its intended goal. USMLE sought to reduce stress on test takers. Instead, among 102 study participants with a 97% Step 1 pass rate, two-thirds reported their commitment to medical education “exceeded what was reasonable for their well-being,” having to endure increased stress, anxiety, and burnout.
Students are still sleep-deprived during the Step 1 study period. Losing sleep can lead to worse test performance and physical and mental health.
What’s more, with the loss of a key datapoint for residency admissions, clerkships and Step 2 now feel more high-stakes than ever. Students have reported feeling more anxiety about Step 2 CK (Clinical Knowledge) now that Step 1 scoring does not contribute as much to residency applications.
One study suggests the following fixes to the mental health crisis facing med school students taking USMLE Step 1:
- More frequent academic advisor meetings
- Increased access to mental health counselors
- Reduced isolation from others
- More NBME test prep materials
- Structured peer mentoring
However, not everyone sees this change negatively. Emily Zitkovsky, a medical graduate from Brown University, sees it as a little more stressful, but better for medical students in general: